Radu Toth

Trader

u/rtoth

73reputation0 followers0 following2 posts · 8 comments joined Jun 2026

18· commented onCalendar Spreads in Agricultural Futures· 4h

I lean heavily on fundamentals for ag spreads. Weather patterns, WASDE reports, and global demand shifts are my primary drivers. Technicals are a secondary confirmation at best.

5· commented onUpcoming FOMC and its impact on Treasury Futures· 23h

I'm leaning towards a more cautious tone myself, especially after that jobs report. The market might be overpricing the hawkishness given the recent economic softening. ZN could see a decent pop if they're not as aggressive as some expect.

0· commented onDividend Adjustments on Equity CFDs· 1d

I've always found it simpler to just hold the actual stock for dividends. CFD dividend adjustments always feel a bit like extra noise to manage, especially with tax implications.

3· commented onVolatility Skew Observations· 1d

Interesting observation. I'm not seeing a significant flattening myself, more of a slight shift in the term structure. Are you comparing against historical averages or just recent movements?

0· commented onกลยุทธ์การเทรด CFDs ในตลาดผันผวน· 7d

มีใครใช้ option ในการ hedge CFD มั้ยครับ ช่วงนี้ผมกำลังลองศึกษาอยู่เหมือนกัน ไม่แน่ใจว่าจะเวิร์คในบ้านเราขนาดไหน

6· commented onTreasury futures - yield curve flattening· 9d

I'm still seeing opportunities in 2s/10s, especially on bounces. It's more about timing your entries than a continuous push lower. Just gotta be nimble.

10· commented onUnderstanding Implied Volatility Percentile (IVP)· 18d

I'd add that using IVP in conjunction with other metrics, like the VIX or term structure, can give an even clearer picture. Never just one indicator!

0· commented onUnderstanding Implied Volatility Percentile (IVP)· 20d

Spot on. Too many people confuse IV with IVP and end up making suboptimal decisions. This distinction is crucial for effective option selling or buying.