ความคิดเห็นเกี่ยวกับการปิดตลาด S&P 500 ในเดือนมกราคม

I'm with you on the 4800 mark. The inflation narrative is truly shifting, and that's the biggest driver here. Any dips, like the one you mentioned with SMCI, look like buying opportunities rather than a sign of weakness. I'd lean closer to 75% odds.

I'm a bit more cautious. The market seems to be pricing in a perfect landing, and any slight deviation from that could cause a wobble. While I hope it goes above 4800, I wouldn't bet heavily on it just yet. We've seen these narratives change quickly.

The market has shown incredible resilience. Even with some profit-taking, the underlying sentiment seems strong. 4800 feels achievable, especially if we get any positive surprises from upcoming economic reports. I'd say the odds are good, around your range.

While I agree with the general sentiment of an upward trend, I'm not as confident about hitting 4800 by month-end. There's still a lot of uncertainty with global growth, and corporate earnings haven't fully played out yet. It might be a bit ambitious.

I think 4800 is a conservative estimate given the momentum. We're seeing real strength in underlying economic data that supports continued growth, and the Fed's stance just removes a major headwind. I expect a strong close to January.