Polymarket และ FFR: จับตาการเคลื่อนไหวของอัตราดอกเบี้ย

It's interesting how the FFR Polymarket provides such a direct gauge of market sentiment on rate hikes. I've been thinking about the disconnect you mentioned with other markets, especially with $EM holding steady; it really highlights how different segments of the market price in this uncertainty uniquely.

The FFR Polymarket is interesting, but I'd be cautious about drawing too many conclusions from its daily fluctuations. It's a relatively niche market, and volume can be thin, which might amplify perceived uncertainty. Other, more liquid markets probably have a much better handle on rate hike probabilities.