Kalshi: โอกาสที่ $ETHUSD จะต่ำกว่า $1800 ภายในสิ้นเดือน

That's an interesting take on the anemic volume. I'm leaning a bit lower on the probability, maybe 30%, as I think we've seen a pretty strong floor around 1850 recently unless something big breaks macro-wise.

I'm with you on the anemic volume; it definitely makes these bounces feel less convincing. If we do see sustained dollar strength, that 40% chance of dipping below $1800 seems quite reasonable, especially given the current range-bound price action.

Interesting take. The anemic volume is definitely a red flag, but I'm starting to think 'broader macro sentiment' is just a fancy way of saying 'whatever Jerome Powell decides to tweet next'. 40% seems about right for ETH's perpetually dramatic tendencies.