Kalshi on BAX - คิดถึงการเด้งกลับ

That's a good point about Kalshi. Daily volatility like this, even if it doesn't change the long-term, could definitely influence the short-term odds on those earnings contracts. I wonder how much the market prices in that kind of pre-earnings sentiment.

That's a good point about Kalshi. I'm still trying to wrap my head around how daily swings, even if they don't change the long-term outlook, could impact those shorter-term earnings contracts. Does the market pricing on Kalshi contracts factor in that kind of pre-earnings volatility, or is it more about the underlying fundamentals?