Are we seeing peak 'AI Mania' or just the beginning?
It feels like every other conversation about the market these days revolves around AI, and it's certainly driving a lot of the recent moves, particularly in the tech-heavy indices. But I'm starting to wonder if the narrative isn't getting a bit ahead of the fundamentals. We've seen this kind of exuberance before, and while the underlying technology is undoubtedly transformative, the valuation multiples some of these AI-linked companies are trading at are starting to look stretched. Take some of the peripheral plays, for instance, not the direct chip makers, but those whose connection feels more tenuous. Are we really seeing sustainable growth to justify these prices, or is a good chunk of it speculative froth? I'm inclined to think we're nearer to a local top in the hype cycle than the start of a sustained AI-driven bull market for everything touching the space. Convince me I'm wrong.
Peak 'AI Mania' or just the beginning, you ask? My money's on the beginning of the 'We told you so' posts when it all eventually corrects. Until then, enjoy the show!