Thoughts on S&P 500's current consolidation around 5200-5250

Been watching the $SPX pretty closely the last few sessions, and it feels like we're settling into a bit of a range after that strong run. I'm seeing resistance holding pretty firm around 5250, while 5200 seems to be acting as decent support. If we get a clear break and sustained close above 5250, I'd start looking at the next leg up, but a strong rejection here and a move below 5200 could signal a deeper pullback is on the cards. My main risk for this view is if we get an unexpected news catalyst that just blows through either of those levels with conviction on big volume.