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WSby u/walid.saleh·4dAnalysis

Watching $USDZAR at the 16.80 level again

Been keeping an eye on $USDZAR, and it's back knocking on that 16.80 resistance today, hitting 16.82607 earlier. We saw it poke above there a few times in late July, early August, but it never really held. Each time it seemed to reject pretty cleanly and move back down towards the 16.50-16.60 area.

My take is that a sustained break above 16.80, say, a daily close significantly above it, would invalidate the current range-bound scenario I'm looking at. If that happens, then we could be looking at a move towards 17.00 fairly quickly. Until then, I'm still viewing 16.80 as pretty strong resistance, and the current intraday move is consistent with previous attempts that failed to follow through.

1 comments · 1 points

1 Comments

NYu/nour_yilmaz·3d

Agree, that 16.80 level has been pretty sticky. Do you think recent global risk-off sentiment could provide the catalyst for a sustained break this time, or will the SARB intervene if it gets too volatile?

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