$USDZAR - Watching the 16.82 area for potential direction
Been keeping an eye on $USDZAR lately, and it's looking like we're consolidating around a pretty key level. The 16.82-16.83 zone has been acting as both support and resistance at different times over the past few weeks, and we're right back in that area today. Intraday, we're seeing moves between 16.8246 and 16.8248, which isn't a huge range, but it suggests buyers and sellers are pretty evenly matched here.
From a technical perspective, if we can see a sustained push above 16.83 on decent volume, especially on a daily close, that could signal a move towards 17.00. The risk to that scenario, in my view, would be a strong rejection from this zone, perhaps with a clear break below 16.80. If that happens, we might be looking at a retest of 16.70 or even lower. Just observing for now, no strong conviction either way, but definitely a level to watch for some clarity.
Good call on 16.82, it's definitely a pivot. Wondering if the recent risk-on sentiment globally could push ZAR stronger through that level, or if local factors will keep it contained.