Thoughts on Energy and European Crosses This Week
It's been a peculiar week in the markets, hasn't it? I'm particularly watching how the energy sector holds up. $XOP is at 180.49 now, seeing some bounce today after a decent run yesterday. The range has been pretty tight though, 179.08 to 182.4, which makes me wonder if this move has legs or if it's just some short-covering. I'm not seeing conviction just yet.
On the forex side, the European crosses are giving me pause. $EURCAD at 1.6042 today, essentially flat, feels like it's just biding its time. The 1.6042-1.6042 range for the day is... well, it's not telling us much. Similarly, $EM holding at 1.195 with a tight 1.195-1.2 range suggests some indecision. The lack of direction makes me cautious about putting on significant risk right now. Are others seeing similar lethargy in these pairs, or am I missing something crucial in the underlying sentiment?
It's interesting how tight XOP has been. Do you think the lack of conviction is more about general market uncertainty, or something specific to the energy sector right now?