Odds of $USLV closing above 14.00 this week?

Given $USLV is currently trading around 13.92 and has been flirting with the 14.00 resistance all day, what are the community's thoughts on the probability of it closing above that level by Friday? I'm leaning towards a 40% chance, considering the daily range has already touched 14.12, but there's been some resistance at the high end.