$USLV hitting $15 by end of May

Looking at $USLV and its recent run, the momentum is pretty clear, but the conviction behind it still feels a bit thin for a sustained break. We've seen it push towards $14.12 today, which is good, but holding above that feels like a struggle without new catalysts. I'd put the odds of it hitting $15 by the end of May at around 35%. My reasoning is primarily based on the current resistance at the $14.20-$14.50 area from prior attempts, coupled with what seems to be largely speculative interest rather than strong fundamental shifts in the underlying asset driving leveraged products. A pullback to consolidate gains is more probable before another leg up, if it even happens within that timeframe.