LUNA's month-end range – a dartboard prediction

Given $LUNA's current dance around the $1.24 mark, and its usual volatility, I'm putting the odds of it closing out March above $1.50 at about 20%. Conversely, I'd give it closer to a 40% chance of dipping below $1.00 by month-end. My reasoning? The current price action seems to lack any significant catalyst for a sustained upward move, and without that, the path of least resistance often seems to be downwards in these smaller cap coins. Plus, the crypto market sentiment generally feels a bit...meh.

Now, for it to stay within a tight range of $1.10 - $1.40? I'd put that at 40%. A flat month isn't impossible, but it requires a peculiar balance of inertia and lack of news, which is almost as rare as actual utility in some of these projects. Don't trade off this, obviously, unless you enjoy setting fire to your portfolio.