$MATIC sub-$0.25 by Friday?

Been watching $MATIC closely today, currently bouncing around $0.28. Given the broader market sentiment and what looks like continued short-term resistance around the $0.285-$0.29 mark, I'm leaning towards a retracement.

I'd put the odds of seeing $MATIC drop below $0.25 before market close this Friday at roughly 60%. My reasoning is largely technical; it just doesn't feel like there's enough momentum to sustain these higher levels, and we've seen multiple rejections when it tries to push above $0.286 today. Curious to hear other takes.