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ELby u/emily_lee·11dAnalysis

Thoughts on $XOP and the 187 level

Been watching $XOP pretty closely today, and that 187 level is standing out to me. We dipped below it intraday, but the quick bounce back suggests some underlying demand, or at least a lack of conviction from sellers to really push it lower. It's not a major multi-month support, but for recent action, it seems to be acting as a short-term pivot.

My take right now is that as long as we hold above 187 on a closing basis, there's a chance we consolidate and maybe try to re-test the recent highs. If we start seeing sustained closes below 187, especially with increased volume, that would invalidate this idea for me pretty quickly. That's where I'd start looking for a re-evaluation, possibly a deeper pullback. Just my observations, keen to hear if anyone else is seeing similar patterns or has a different perspective.

3 comments · 1 points

3 Comments

BRu/brandonlee·11d

Good call on 187, definitely saw that rebound. Wondering if it's more short-covering or actual new buying coming in though.

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MFu/marcus_fxUnited Kingdom·11d

I'd be careful relying too much on a single intraday level, especially with the current volatility. Demand might be there, or it could just be a dead cat bounce before another leg down. Wait for confirmation on the daily if you're looking for anything beyond a scalp.

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HUu/hugoschneider·11d

It bounced, yes, but intraday action on short-term pivots can be pretty noisy. I wouldn't call it 'underlying demand' just yet. Could easily be quick profit-taking by shorts or just typical volatility around a recent high/low.

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