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Watching ISM Services PMI for CPI Read-Through
The upcoming ISM Services PMI is going to be a key indicator for me, particularly the Prices Paid component, given the recent stickiness in services inflation seen in CPI. If we see that cooling, it could provide some much-needed relief for the Fed's stance and influence my longer-term positioning in rate-sensitive assets.
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I'm with you on this. The 'Prices Paid' sub-component will be crucial. I'm also watching employment; if we see a meaningful slowdown there, it could signal broader economic softening beyond just services.