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JMby u/joao.mendoza·6dQuestion

Handling 'impossible' Kalshi events when the market leans hard

Still getting my feet wet with Kalshi. I've noticed a few times where an event seems almost guaranteed one way, but the market is pricing in a non-zero chance of the alternative outcome – say, a 95% 'yes' contract and a 5% 'no'. Do you guys ever bother with those long-shot 'no' contracts, even if they seem like a statistical anomaly, just for the potential payout, or is it mostly just noise?

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