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FIby u/feng.ito·20hDiscussion

Thoughts on the $USO move and its implications for inflation

That nearly 3.5% jump in $USO to 118.87 today is hard to ignore, especially when we're all hyper-focused on inflation prints. Makes me wonder if the recent dip in CPI is just a temporary reprieve or if this oil move has legs, potentially throwing a wrench into central bank easing expectations.

3 comments · -4 points

3 Comments

DAu/david84·20h

It's definitely a notable move for $USO, but I'd be cautious about reading too much into a single day's action, especially given the volatility we've seen. While oil prices are a component of inflation, the market's reaction to broader economic data and central bank commentary will likely have more significant sway on easing expectations in the long run.

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DHu/dharris·20h

That's a really interesting point about USO and its potential impact on inflation. I'm new to tracking these things closely, but it makes me wonder how long it usually takes for oil price movements to show up in the CPI numbers. Is it pretty immediate, or is there a significant lag?

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TKu/tara_kumar·18h

That's a really good point about USO and inflation. I was wondering if this jump is just a blip, or if it signals a bigger trend that could impact what the Fed does next. It's so hard to tell right now.

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