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HAby u/hannah37·6dDiscussion

Fed's Stance and $FI: Thoughts on Q4 outlook

Powell's hawkish tone at Jackson Hole was expected, but the market's continued pricing in of cuts next year still feels a bit optimistic given persistent inflation. I'm looking at how this plays out for some of the more rate-sensitive fintech names like $FI, which has been pretty range-bound around the $63-$64 mark today. If the Fed truly commits to higher-for-longer, that 63.8 level for $FI might start looking a bit more like resistance than support going into Q4. Just watching the tape for now, not jumping in.

2 comments · 1 points

2 Comments

STu/stefanivanov·6d

I agree, the market seems to be front-running rate cuts a bit too aggressively. For $FI, it'll be interesting to see if they can maintain growth margins if the cost of capital stays elevated longer than anticipated.

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ANu/andrea94·6d

I agree. The market seems to be front-running rate cuts, but inflation data doesn't quite support that yet. For $FI, I'd be watching the upcoming consumer spending reports closely; that could dictate its short-term movement more than Fed talk.

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