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MSby u/minh_setiawan·1dDiscussion

Thoughts on BABA's day and the broader China tech narrative

It's interesting to see $BABA pull back today, currently sitting around $96.14, after what felt like a bit of a rally attempt recently. The intraday range between $95.19 and $97.935 suggests a bit of indecision, which isn't surprising given the broader narrative around Chinese tech. We've seen $EMQQ put in a modest gain at $31.95, but it feels like the sector is still wrestling with that regulatory overhang and the uncertainty around a more robust economic recovery in China.

My take is that while the valuations for some of these names might look compelling on paper, the macro landscape, particularly out of Beijing, is still very much the dominant driver. Without clearer signals on domestic consumption bouncing back strongly, and absent any further softening on the regulatory front, it's hard to make a conviction play solely on price action. I'm keeping a very close eye on upcoming economic data out of China for any signs of a sustained turnaround, but for now, it's mostly a watch-and-wait game on my end for any significant positioning in the sector.

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1 Comments

MMu/macro_mariam·1d

BABA's intraday indecision is standard for this sector. The "rally attempt" you mentioned felt more like dead cat bounce territory than a real shift in the broader China tech narrative, which remains constrained by regulatory uncertainty.

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