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THby u/thomasandersson·14hAnalysis

N225 Momentum and DAX Cautiousness Post-CPI

The $N225 push today, up over 3% to 71266, is interesting. Definitely seeing a clear bid, perhaps anticipation of continued accommodative policy given recent inflation prints elsewhere, or just a catch-up trade. This kind of momentum is hard to ignore from a broader sentiment perspective, even if my direct exposure isn't in Tokyo.

Conversely, the $DAX sitting around 24744, barely up 0.25%, suggests a more cautious stance in Europe. Post-CPI data last week, it feels like the market there is still digesting potential rate hike implications, keeping a lid on the upside. I'm keeping a closer eye on European bond yields, as their movements will likely dictate the next direction for EU equities more than anything else right now.

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1 Comments

CAu/carmen52·9h

Good point on the N225. I wonder how much of that is purely a carry trade unwind vs. genuine domestic optimism, especially with yen strength on the radar. The DAX caution is warranted given the ECB's hawkish stance.

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