$USDTRY and that 47.00 psychological wall
Anyone else watching $USDTRY flirt with 47.00? It's been hovering just above it, currently at 47.0305, after bumping its head against 47.0441 earlier today. I'm seeing a potential for some consolidation here if it can't definitively push through that 47.05-47.10 zone. My thinking is that this 47.00 mark, being such a round number, is acting as a bit of a psychological barrier, maybe attracting some profit-taking or short-term sellers who remember how hard it was to break 45.00 a while back. The risk to this consolidation scenario, of course, would be a strong push from the CBRT or some unexpected economic data that gives it the juice to clear those highs convincingly, invalidating the current range-bound idea. Always good for a chuckle when a level like this acts like a bouncer at a club, eh?
While round numbers can act as psychological barriers, the impact is often overstated. I'd be more inclined to look at fundamental drivers and real order flow around those levels rather than just the number itself.