USD/CAD action after CPI data
The latest CPI print came in a touch cooler than anticipated for Canada, which has seen $USDCAD respond by dipping slightly, currently around 1.40225. It’s not a dramatic move, but it reinforces the narrative that the BoC might have a bit more room to breathe before any aggressive rate hike talks resurface. The range today for $USDCAD has been fairly tight, 1.40052–1.40429, suggesting conviction is still somewhat muted, which is often the case around these macro releases.
I'm still watching how this develops over the next few days. The dip today hasn't invalidated the broader upward trend, but it does make me reconsider scaling in immediately. If we see sustained pressure below the 1.4000 mark, that would be a different story, but for now, it feels like more noise than signal. Keeping it on the watchlist for a clearer directional bias next week.
It's a bit early to call it a definitive trend. We've seen similar initial reactions reverse within a few days. Is the market truly pricing in a softer BoC, or is this just profit-taking after the initial news spike?