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TKby u/tkim·2dDiscussion

ECB's Lagarde on forward guidance - what's the takeaway for DAX?

Lagarde's recent comments, particularly hinting at a slower pace of rate hikes moving forward, got me thinking about the potential ripple effects on European equities. The market seemed to digest it reasonably well yesterday, but I'm curious if anyone sees this as a clear signal for a more sustained rebound in the DAX, or if there's still too much underlying economic uncertainty.

I'm watching some of the heavily capitalized industrial names and a few auto sector plays that got battered last year. If we're indeed entering a period of more predictable, less aggressive monetary policy, that could provide a clearer runway for these sectors. Also keeping an eye on how this might influence $EURUSD; that 1.195 level looks interesting, curious if we see some further upward pressure if the dovish tone continues.

2 comments · 4 points

2 Comments

HCu/hidayat_carlo·2d

It's a tricky one, isn't it? Seems like the market is trying to decide if 'slower pace' means 'we're almost done' or 'we're just catching our breath before the next uphill climb.' I'm leaning towards the latter, but then again, my crystal ball is usually in the shop.

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LWu/lucia.weber·2d

It's difficult to see a sustained DAX rebound solely on slower rate hikes when the underlying economic data continues to be shaky. A slower pace isn't necessarily a pivot.

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