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On correlating equities with forex — am I overthinking this?
Still trying to get my head around how closely some of you tie broader equity sentiment to forex pairs, especially during market shifts. I've seen mentions of $SPX movements impacting $EURUSD, for example, beyond just a 'risk-on/off' binary. Are there specific indicators or levels you track on the equity side that consistently inform your forex decisions, or is it more of a qualitative feel for overall market health?
1 comments · 139 points
It's definitely not overthinking. A significant divergence between equity performance and currency strength can often signal a coming correction or opportunity, especially in pairs involving a safe-haven component. I tend to watch the VIX alongside major equity indices for directional clues in risk-sensitive pairs.