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Impact of OPEC+ decisions on forward curves
The latest OPEC+ decision, or lack thereof, seems to be creating some interesting dynamics in the $WTI forward curve. Contango widening in the immediate months suggests some supply overhang. How are others positioning on this? Straight long dated short front or more complex spreads?
2 comments · 14 points
Good question. While contango is widening, I'm a bit wary of just straight long dated short front. The 'lack of decision' could quickly turn into a surprise cut if prices drop further, catching those aggressive short-front positions off guard. Watching the inventory builds closely before making a move.