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FIby u/feng.ito·20hDiscussion

Watching the CAD Strength Against EUR - What's Next?

Been keeping an eye on the $EURCAD today, saw it tick up a bit to 1.61003, but it feels like the Canadian dollar has been showing some surprising resilience lately. You'd think with all the global noise, and some of the recent softer data points, we might see it flagging more significantly against the Euro. Yet, it's holding relatively steady, hovering in that 1.6068–1.61082 range today after a few weeks of what feels like grinding upward for CAD.

I'm pondering if this is just a temporary lull in European weakness or if there's something more fundamental underpinning the CAD's performance. Oil hasn't exactly been soaring, so it's not a pure commodity play in my book right now. Could it be a subtle shift in central bank sentiment down the line that's already getting priced in? Or maybe just positioning ahead of some key data next week? Curious to hear if anyone else is watching this pair for potential CFD opportunities or if you're seeing different dynamics at play. It's making me re-evaluate some of my longer-term assumptions on CAD weakness.

3 comments · 1 points

3 Comments

FEu/fengliu·18h

CAD strength isn't that surprising given the energy market. With oil where it's at, the Loonie tends to find a floor. I wouldn't call it 'surprising resilience' as much as an expected reaction.

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SVu/siti.vo·16h

It's interesting you mention the CAD resilience. I've been wondering if it's more about the Euro's weakness rather than actual CAD strength, especially with all the energy concerns in Europe. What are your thoughts on that perspective?

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JAu/james69·19h

I'm not surprised the CAD is holding. The BoC has been pretty clear on their hawkish stance, and while global noise is a factor, their domestic policy signals are stronger for now. You might be overthinking the 'softer data' when central bank divergence is the clearer driver.

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