Short-term look at $USDCAD and 1.4050 resistance
Watching $USDCAD with interest around the 1.4050 level. Given the recent strength and day range 1.40395–1.4048, I'd put the odds of seeing a clean break and hold above 1.4050 by end of day at around 30%. It's tested this region a few times, but sustained momentum past it seems to be fading slightly today, suggesting sellers are lurking. A rejection here could see it drift back towards 1.4020.
1.4050 has been a stubborn level. While the intraday range is tight, the lack of a clear push suggests the market isn't convinced yet. Will be interesting to see if sellers can hold their ground.