SAP's path to 200: A Q3 event-driven scenario

Looking at $SAP's recent price action, hitting a daily high of 184.06 today and closing at 183.62, the momentum certainly feels positive. I'm watching the next significant push towards 200, which I think has a decent probability of occurring before the end of Q3. My reasoning isn't purely technical; it's more about the anticipated announcements around their AI initiatives and enterprise solutions updates that typically come out in late summer/early autumn. If they deliver compelling updates that resonate with the market's current appetite for AI-driven growth, especially given their enterprise footprint, it could be the catalyst. I'd put the odds of hitting 200 by September 30th at around 60%, assuming no major broader market drawdowns or unexpected negative news from competitors in the interim. It's a conviction call based on their typical news cycle aligning with current market sentiment rather than just price action alone.