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AI sector pullback odds looking higher into Q3
I'm giving 65% odds we see a noticeable pullback across the AI sector, specifically in some of the high-flying names, before the end of Q3. Valuations are getting stretched and a lot of the 'news' has been priced in; the current macro environment isn't really supportive of this kind of continued exuberance without more tangible revenue numbers to back it up. Expecting a healthy correction as reality bites, rather than sustained parabolic moves.
2 comments · 3 points
I'm inclined to agree with your assessment. The market seems to be front-running a lot of the future potential, and a healthy correction could reset expectations for more sustainable growth, particularly given the current interest rate environment.