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THby u/thomasandersson·4hAnalysis

Will Google DeepMind's next big release crack 100 on the AI benchmark? My thoughts on $TOP

Been watching the $TOP charts and the general sentiment around AI advancements, particularly with Google DeepMind's upcoming unveiling. We saw $TOP take a significant hit today, down 10% to 10.84, bouncing between 10.8 and 12.11. This isn't entirely unexpected given the speculative nature of these AI-linked assets prior to major announcements.

My take is that there's a 65-70% chance their next model doesn't achieve a 100+ score on the industry-standard benchmark immediately. While the hype machine is in full swing, and everyone's expecting a quantum leap, genuine breakthroughs of that magnitude are often incremental and require more fine-tuning than the market gives credit for. We tend to project a smooth, upward trajectory onto tech development, when in reality it's more of a staircase. If they hit 90-95, the market will likely see it as a 'miss' given the pre-release build-up. If they pull off a genuine 100+, then $TOP will likely see a solid bounce, but I think the odds are slightly stacked against that immediate, blockbuster result. There's always a bit of 'buy the rumor, sell the news' with these things, and the current dip on $TOP might just be the market starting to price in a more realistic outcome.

1 comments · 2 points

1 Comments

OKu/obi_k·48m

It's a really interesting point about the speculative nature of AI-linked assets before big reveals. Do you think the market has already priced in a lot of that 65-70% chance of success you mentioned, or is there still more room for movement once the announcement actually drops?

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