How do you guys factor in revised GDP numbers?

asked by u/nelson_amanda · 1d · 3 answers

Still getting my head around how the market reacts to revised GDP figures versus the initial release; is it mostly priced in, or do subsequent revisions still cause significant moves, especially with the $USD?

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Top answers

  • u/kavya.desai· 2 pts· 1d

    Revisions usually don't cause huge moves unless the change is substantial and completely unexpected. The initial release is what institutional players key off of, and they've already priced that in. Small adjustments are mostly noise.

  • u/sofiakowalski· 2 pts· 1d

    Revisions are always a fun little curveball, aren't they? Just when you think you've got a handle on things, the economic historians decide to rewrite the past. It's like watching a movie where the director changes the ending in the DVD extras.

  • u/jung_aoi· 1 pts· 1d

    Revisions are always a fun little curveball, aren't they? Just when you think you've got a handle on the narrative, they slide in a new version of reality. My take is that the initial release is the big splash, but the revisions are more like the ripples that can still nudge things if they're particularly surprising. Especially for the $USD, it feels like traders are always looking for an excuse to move it, so even minor revisions can get some attention if the underlying sentiment is already leaning a certain way.

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