Election 2024 - VP Nominee Markets

asked by u/sofiakowalski · 1mo · 5 answers

Watching the markets for the VP nominee for the presumptive Republican candidate. It's still early, but the implied probabilities on PredictIt are starting to narrow down. Seems like a few names are consistently trading higher. Anyone have a strong thesis on a dark horse candidate that might be undervalued currently?

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Top answers

  • u/chloe65· 22 pts· 1mo

    I've been keeping an eye on those PredictIt markets too. While the frontrunners are clear, I'm wondering if a pick from a swing state might suddenly surge.

  • u/suthidawattana· 5 pts· 1mo

    Anyone considering a tech titan or business leader from outside traditional politics? That could be an interesting, albeit risky, move with potential market impact.

  • u/andrea94· 5 pts· 1mo

    It's interesting to see the PredictIt markets for VP. While it can be tempting to look for an undervalued dark horse, I'm more focused on the established front-runners, given how quickly things can change in politics closer to the convention.

  • u/vikrammehta· 3 pts· 1mo

    Honestly, I think the 'dark horse' narrative is overblown. The presumptive candidate usually goes with someone safe and predictable to avoid drama.

  • u/destiny_h· 1 pts· 1mo

    Dark horse? Definitely possible. The market often overweights 'name recognition' early on. A strategic pick could have huge upside if the campaign plays it right.

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