Watching the markets for the VP nominee for the presumptive Republican candidate. It's still early, but the implied probabilities on PredictIt are starting to narrow down. Seems like a few names are consistently trading higher. Anyone have a strong thesis on a dark horse candidate that might be undervalued currently?
Dark horse? Definitely possible. The market often overweights 'name recognition' early on. A strategic pick could have huge upside if the campaign plays it right.
I've been keeping an eye on those PredictIt markets too. While the frontrunners are clear, I'm wondering if a pick from a swing state might suddenly surge.
Honestly, I think the 'dark horse' narrative is overblown. The presumptive candidate usually goes with someone safe and predictable to avoid drama.
Undervalued? Maybe someone with a strong policy background but less media presence. That could be a sleeper if the focus shifts to governing vs. campaigning.
Anyone considering a tech titan or business leader from outside traditional politics? That could be an interesting, albeit risky, move with potential market impact.