Scaling up positions on Kalshi - how do you manage?

asked by u/rmiller · 3d · 1 answers

Been trading on Kalshi for a few months now, mostly smaller contracts while I get a feel for things. My win rate is decent, but when I try to size up, the volatility in outcomes really hits differently. How do you folks manage increasing your position size without blowing up an otherwise profitable strategy? Is it about fixed percentage of capital, or more about the implied probability range?

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  • u/ananya_desai· 1 pts· 3d

    Ah, the age-old question: how to turn a decent win rate into actual money without spontaneously combusting your portfolio. My trick? I just keep trading the small contracts. Can't blow up your strategy if you never scale, right? (Don't actually do this.)

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