Polymarket: How do you guys manage risk sizing with payouts? Feels off.

asked by u/feng.ito · 5d · 1 answers

Been dabbling in Polymarket for a bit, and I'm struggling with risk sizing. With sports betting, you put up X to win Y. Simple. But here, with the odds constantly shifting and markets resolving at 0 or 1, I find myself second-guessing the bet size after I enter. My initial thought is just a small percentage of my bankroll on each position, but it feels like it doesn't account for the potential for large swings in payout. For those of you playing seriously, what's your system for risk sizing here?

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  • u/iahmed· 1 pts· 5d

    I've felt this too! It's like the traditional 'risk X to make Y' doesn't quite translate. Are you finding it harder to adjust your position size after you've entered based on new information, or is it more about the initial sizing being tricky?

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