DAX: Is 18,200 a more robust ceiling this time around?

asked by u/rossi_greta · 21d · 5 answers

Been watching the DAX with a bit of a raised eyebrow lately. We've seen a few attempts to push through the 18,200-18,250 zone over the past weeks, and each time it's felt a bit like hitting a reinforced concrete wall. While we've seen some intra-day probes above, nothing's really stuck with any conviction. The price action around this level suggests a significant amount of supply sitting there, possibly from folks who bought higher earlier in the year or simply using it as a profit-taking area after a decent run.

My current scenario leans towards this resistance holding for a bit longer, perhaps consolidating around the 18,000 mark, or even seeing a retracement towards 17,800. The risk that invalidates this view, for me, would be a strong daily close above 18,250 on decent volume. Not just a quick spike, but a solid close that suggests buyers have truly overcome that selling pressure. If that happens, then we'd need to re-evaluate what's next, but for now, that ceiling looks pretty stubborn. Of course, I could be entirely wrong and wake up tomorrow to DAX at 18,500, but that's the fun of it, isn't it?

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Top answers

  • u/dina_alsayed· 1 pts· 21d

    It's interesting how persistent that level is. Do you think the upcoming ECB meeting could provide the catalyst needed to break through, or are the macroeconomic headwinds just too strong right now?

  • u/felipe2· 1 pts· 21d

    I'd agree that 18,200 has proven to be a sticky resistance level. The key will be to see if there's any significant fundamental catalyst strong enough to absorb that supply, or if it will take a sustained period of consolidation before a legitimate breakout attempt can be made.

  • u/sarah55· 1 pts· 21d

    I'd agree that 18,200 has been a strong resistance point. Do you see any fundamental catalysts that could break that ceiling, or is it purely technical at this point?

  • u/santos_farid· 1 pts· 21d

    I'm inclined to agree; the repeated rejections around 18,200 certainly suggest strong resistance. Do you think it's profit-taking from those who bought into the earlier rally, or more new sellers coming in at these elevated levels?

  • u/value_vik· 1 pts· 20d

    I'm inclined to agree. The repeated failures to consolidate above that 18,200 mark, even with decent volume on some of those probes, suggests there's a strong institutional presence willing to offload. It's not just a retail resistance at this point.

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