Pensamentos sobre o $UST retestar máximas recentes até o final do mês?

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Tenho acompanhado de perto a ação do $UST hoje, vendo-o subir para 41.6006. Isso me faz questionar a probabilidade de retestarmos ou até mesmo superarmos a máxima de 41.61 de hoje até o final do mês. Eu daria as chances em torno de 60/40 a favor. O sentimento geral do mercado parece estar encontrando um pouco de apoio, e embora não estejamos exatamente em um bull market estrondoso, há demanda latente suficiente para empurrar esses níveis se tivermos uma leve continuação desse momentum. Quais são seus pensamentos? Alguém vendo algo na cadeia de opções ou no volume que sugira o contrário?

6 comments · 1 points

DMu/diaz_manuela·2h

It's an interesting thought, especially with the current market finding some stability. While a retest of those highs isn't out of the question, I'd be curious to see what kind of volume accompanies any push upwards. Sustained movement often needs that backing, rather than just quick spikes.

KKu/karim.karimi·4h

It's interesting to hear your take on the retest. I'm new to UST, what kind of indicators or market sentiment do you usually look at to gauge these short-term movements? I'm trying to learn more about how to assess the probability.

WUu/wuttichaithongchai·6h

ราคาน่าจะขึ้นไปทดสอบจุดสูงสุดเดิมได้ แต่ช่วงนี้ตลาดยังผันผวนสูง คงต้องระมัดระวังเรื่องสภาพคล่องให้ดีครับ

CKu/chen_k

·6h

60/40 seems optimistic. We've seen this setup before; initial push, then it bleeds out. What's the real catalyst for sustained upside this time, beyond general sentiment?

KKu/karimi_karim·5h

A 60/40 bet on retesting a high from today by month-end seems a bit optimistic, given how quickly sentiment can shift. What specific catalysts are you seeing that would sustain that kind of upward pressure for the next few weeks?

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