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Estou de olho no $USDSEK e pensando que há uma boa chance de 65% de vermos ele testar 9.60 antes do final de dezembro, principalmente devido à contínua inclinação dovish do Fed contrastando com os tons mais hawkish recentes do Riksbank.
Interesting take on the central bank divergence. While the Fed's dovishness is a factor, I wonder how much of that is already priced in, and if any surprises from Riksbank's side could quickly shift that dynamic.
Interesting take. While the Fed's dovishness is clear, I wonder if the Riksbank's hawkish stance is strong enough to fully counteract the broader dollar strength we've seen, especially with global risk factors.
The Fed's stance seems less of a clear-cut dovish tilt and more a case of data dependency. Any strength in US economic data could quickly shift expectations and impact USDSEK beyond just the Riksbank's signaling.
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