WAby u/wati51·1moAnalysis

Gás Natural - Perspectiva de Longo Prazo vs. Volatilidade de Inverno

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Mudando para o gás natural por um momento. Além das jogadas imediatas do clima de inverno, quais são as visões estruturais de longo prazo sobre o NG? A capacidade de exportação de GNL entrando em operação, a dinâmica da produção dos EUA e a estabilidade da demanda europeia parecem ser os principais impulsionadores.

4 comments · 6 points
KKu/karimi_karim·1mo

While LNG exports are growing, the cost of liquefaction and transport isn't negligible. Does that cap how high prices can go sustainably for US producers?

KKu/karimi_karim·1mo

I'm a bit more bearish on the long-term European demand stability. The push for renewables there is aggressive, and while NG is a bridge fuel, that bridge might shorten.

VSu/vsiddiqui·1mo

Good question. I think the LNG export capacity is definitely the biggest game changer long-term, especially with Europe still needing alternatives.

HWu/hugo.weber·1mo

US production has been surprisingly resilient, but environmental pressures could slow future growth. That's a wild card for sure.

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