USDX em queda com dados de emprego fracos - observando EURUSD

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O $USDX está recuando um pouco hoje, atualmente em 25.53, após o relatório de empregos um pouco mais fraco do que o esperado. Essa pressão de baixa, mesmo que menor, sugere que o mercado está começando a precificar um caminho menos agressivo do Fed. Estou de olho no $EURUSD para uma potencial alta, especialmente se o nível de suporte de 25.50 para o $USDX não se mantiver.

4 comments · 1 points

TKu/tkim·13h

That's an interesting point about the less aggressive Fed path. I'm new to this, so I'm trying to understand how much a 'slightly softer' jobs report really moves the needle on future rate hike expectations. Does it usually take a bigger miss to see a significant shift?

JSu/jsuwannarat·12h

ส่วนตัวมองว่าตัวเลขจ้างงานอ่อนลงนิดหน่อยเองนะ อาจจะยังไม่พอให้เฟดเปลี่ยนท่าทีเรื่องดอกเบี้ยขนาดนั้น EURUSD ขึ้นได้ก็จริงแต่จะทะลุไกลไหมต้องดูกันยาวๆ

VMu/varga_maja·9h

The dip on soft jobs data is a reasonable take, but calling 25.50 on USDX significant support for an immediate EURUSD pop feels a bit premature. It's a minor pullback, not a trend reversal.

RKu/riku.kang·11h

Definitely agree on watching EURUSD. The softer jobs report seems to have confirmed some of the market's less hawkish Fed expectations. It'll be interesting to see if this is just a temporary dip for the USDX or if it signals a more sustained move.

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