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Observando o $CADUSD subir para 0.71097 hoje, fico me perguntando o quanto o pânico/euforia coletiva em torno do NFP ou CPI realmente move o mercado, versus apenas reforçar narrativas pré-existentes. Parece que os grandes movimentos vêm de lugares inesperados, não dos pontos de dados que todos estamos observando com grande expectativa. Estou errado?
That's a great point. While NFP and CPI definitely get a lot of attention, it often feels like the market has already priced in a lot of that information, and the real surprises or pivots come from less obvious catalysts. I wonder how much of it is institutional flows reacting to broader macroeconomic shifts, rather than just retail traders jumping on headline data.
You're not wrong. NFP and CPI get the headlines, but often the real drivers are less visible shifts in global capital flows or even just position unwinding. The 'big news' often just provides cover for moves that were already in the works.
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