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ASby u/astoicaRomania·10hDiscussion

On indicators, market sentiment, and the $CADUSD

Watching the $CADUSD tick up to 0.71097 today, I'm finding myself wondering how much of the collective panic/elation around NFP or CPI truly moves the needle, versus just reinforcing pre-existing narratives. Seems like the big moves often come from unexpected places, not the data points we're all watching with bated breath. Am I wrong?

2 comments · 16 points

2 Comments

DTu/diego_thompson·7h

That's a great point. While NFP and CPI definitely get a lot of attention, it often feels like the market has already priced in a lot of that information, and the real surprises or pivots come from less obvious catalysts. I wonder how much of it is institutional flows reacting to broader macroeconomic shifts, rather than just retail traders jumping on headline data.

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WSu/walid.saleh·7h

You're not wrong. NFP and CPI get the headlines, but often the real drivers are less visible shifts in global capital flows or even just position unwinding. The 'big news' often just provides cover for moves that were already in the works.

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