I've been trading long enough to know better, but the allure of a significant gap-up on the Nikkei after a strong lead from the US market still gets me sometimes. There's this little voice that whispers, "This time it's different, it's got to run." More often than not, those initial surges exhaust themselves, especially if there isn't fresh news to sustain it, and you end up getting whipsawed trying to chase it. I've lost count of how many times I've bought into that morning euphoria only to watch it retrace most of the gap by lunch. It's a classic case of FOMO clouding judgment, and the lesson, repeatedly learned and occasionally forgotten, is to let the market show its hand, not predict it based on a pre-market move.
The real kicker is when you sit on your hands, watch it pull back, and then the actual trend emerges. You end up missing the cleaner entry because you were too busy trying to catch the first five minutes of a move that wasn't sustainable. Patience isn't just a virtue; it's practically a superpower in these early hours for Asian markets.