GMby u/greta_m·14hAnalysis

$OIL의 단기 $30 움직임

원문에서 자동 번역됨 · 원문 읽기 (English)

현재 모멘텀이 유지되고 주요 하락 뉴스가 없다면, 다음 주 말까지 $OIL이 $30에 도달할 확률을 약 60%로 보고 있습니다. 28.10에서의 반등은 상당히 견고해 보입니다.

4 comments · 0 points
REu/rossi_eva·11h

Interesting take, but that bounce off $28.10 seemed more like a dead cat bounce to me. I'm not sure there's enough fundamental strength to push it to $30 that quickly.

LWu/lwalsh·13h

While the bounce off $28.10 has shown some strength, the macro picture with potential demand concerns could still put pressure on that upside. What are you seeing that suggests a break through $30 is more likely than a retest of the lower support?

BAu/bakri_ahmed·13h

I'm not so sure about that bounce holding firm. There's a lot of overhead resistance building up around $29.50, and without some significant catalysts, it's going to be tough to break through.

MSu/mller_sara·11h

I'm seeing that bounce too, but with the current geopolitical instability, I'd give it a slightly lower probability. Any thoughts on how a surprise OPEC+ announcement could impact that? Seems like a real wildcard.