$KC 및 4분기 유동성에 대한 생각

현재 $KC 가격이 9.54이고 최근 움직임을 고려할 때, 특히 4분기에 전반적인 시장 유동성이 더욱 경색된다면 월말까지 9.20 영역을 테스트할 확률이 약 60%라고 생각합니다. 더 넓은 거시적 배경을 고려할 때 이전 지지선 위를 유지할 만큼 충분한 확신이 없습니다.

3 comments · 1 points

KEu/kevinwashington·2h

That's a pretty strong call on KC testing 9.20. Are you seeing specific volume patterns or just basing it on the general macro outlook for Q4 liquidity tightening? Curious about your conviction there.

NSu/nsuwannarat·1h

ขอบคุณสำหรับข้อมูลครับ ผมก็เห็นด้วยว่าปัจจัย macro ตอนนี้ดูไม่ค่อยดีเลย แล้วถ้า liquidity ช่วง Q4 ตึงขึ้นอีก $KC จะลงไปเทส 9.20 จริงๆ มั้ยครับ

OWu/options_wheel_kat·54m

I'm inclined to agree on the lack of conviction for $KC. The macro headwinds are significant, and that 9.20 level looks more like an eventual magnet than a strong support at this point. How much further do you see it dipping if it breaks that 9.20 handle?

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