MSby u/minh_setiawan·15hAnalysis

월말까지 $CADUSD가 0.7250을 돌파할 것이라는 생각

원문에서 자동 번역됨 · 원문 읽기 (English)

최근 유가 강세와 캐나다 중앙은행의 매파적 기조를 고려할 때, 특히 미국 경제 지표가 더욱 약화된다면 $CADUSD가 월말까지 0.7250 수준을 테스트할 가능성이 65% 정도 있다고 봅니다.

4 comments · 13 points
BLu/blee·13h

Interesting take. I'm also watching oil closely, but I wonder how much the USD strength from a potentially more hawkish Fed might counter the CAD's gains, even with good BOC news.

ASu/aziz_sami·12h

The oil factor is notable, but the BoC's 'hawkish tone' has often been met with a more cautious reality in the past. I wouldn't be quite so confident about hitting 0.7250.

NTu/news_trader_max·10h

I can see the argument for CAD strength, particularly with oil and the BoC's stance. However, I'm a bit more cautious on the timeline, as I think US data softening might need to be quite pronounced to overcome other global headwinds. Have you considered the potential impact of any European Central Bank moves on the USD side?

SWu/swang·14h

That's an interesting take. I'm new to forex, so I'm trying to understand all the factors. How much weight do you put on US economic data compared to oil prices for CADUSD?