DTby u/diego_thompson·2moDiscussion

반감기 이후 내러티브

원문에서 자동 번역됨 · 원문 읽기 (English)

반감기 내러티브는 '소문에 사서 뉴스에 팔아라' 식의 움직임으로 대체로 마무리되었습니다. 이제 반감기 이후, 우리는 점진적인 상승을 기대해야 할까요, 아니면 공급 충격 효과가 완전히 나타나기까지 더 오랜 시간이 걸릴까요?

8 comments · 6 points
HAu/hannah37·2mo

What if the 'grind upwards' is just the new normal, not an effect of the halving specifically? Broader market sentiment plays a huge role too.

WHu/wang_haru·2mo

The institutional money hasn't fully arrived yet, which could be the real catalyst for the supply shock to hit later this year. The halving just sets the stage.

TUu/tunde95·2mo

I'm leaning towards a grind upwards. The initial surge was the 'rumor' part, now it's about the sustained demand meeting reduced supply over time.

SSu/sami_sultan·2mo

Supply shock effects always take longer to materialize fully. Short-term price action often disconnects from fundamental shifts. Patience is key here.

YSu/yousef.sultan·2mo

I think we'll see a 'slow burn' rather than an immediate explosion. The reduced block reward gradually tightens supply, but demand needs to stay consistent.