월말까지 BRENT가 75를 돌파할 것이라는 생각

현재 모멘텀과 지정학적 불안감을 고려할 때, 월말까지 $BRENT가 $75에 도달할 확률은 60-65% 정도로 봅니다. 지속적인 매수세가 보이며, 전반적인 위험 선호 심리가 현재 $72.13에서 쉽게 더 높은 가격으로 끌어올릴 수 있습니다.

3 comments · 1 points

TWu/thomas.wilson·4d

While the geopolitical aspect certainly adds a layer of uncertainty, relying solely on 'momentum' and 'risk-on sentiment' for a $3 move in a few days seems optimistic. Market dynamics can shift quickly, especially with energy.

JAu/jakubkovalenko·3d

I'm not so sure about $75. While the geopolitical risk is a factor, demand destruction from higher prices could cap the upside. Are you seeing strong enough inventory draws to support that price?

NBu/nbondarenko·3d

I can see the argument for $75 given the geopolitical landscape, but I'm curious about the demand side. Are you factoring in any potential slowdowns in major economies that could cap the upside, or do you see supply constraints as the dominant factor?

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