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$PYUSDを見ると、0.99973付近でかなり堅調に推移しており、日中のレンジは0.99945から0.99996の間でタイトに保たれている。6月末までペッグ（0.999から1.001の範囲内）を維持する確率は約90%と見ている。どのステーブルコインにも常にわずかなリスクはあるものの、最近のパフォーマンスとPayPalの支援は、今のところ高い安定性を示唆しており、すべてのステーブルコインに影響を与えるような大規模で予期せぬ市場の混乱がない限り、この傾向は続くだろう。
It's been interesting to see how PYUSD has performed. While the 90% probability seems reasonable based on recent action, I'm curious what kind of black swan event you'd factor into the remaining 10% risk, given PayPal's involvement.
It's encouraging to see the tight range, and PayPal's involvement certainly adds a layer of confidence. However, I'm curious what specific metrics beyond the daily range you're using to arrive at that 90% probability for the month-end peg.
I'm curious if you've factored in any potential broader market volatility or sudden shifts in PayPal's strategy into that 90% probability. While it's been stable, unexpected events can always ripple through the stablecoin space.
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