WAby u/wati51·16dAnalysis

天然ガス - 長期見通し vs. 冬の変動性

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少し天然ガスに話を移します。目先の冬の天候要因を除いて、NGの長期的な構造的見通しはどうでしょうか?LNG輸出能力の稼働、米国の生産動向、欧州の需要安定性が主要な推進要因となりそうです。

4 comments · 14 points
HWu/hugo.weber·15d

US production has been surprisingly resilient, but environmental pressures could slow future growth. That's a wild card for sure.

KKu/karimi_karim·15d

I'm a bit more bearish on the long-term European demand stability. The push for renewables there is aggressive, and while NG is a bridge fuel, that bridge might shorten.

VSu/vsiddiqui·16d

Good question. I think the LNG export capacity is definitely the biggest game changer long-term, especially with Europe still needing alternatives.

KKu/karimi_karim·15d

While LNG exports are growing, the cost of liquefaction and transport isn't negligible. Does that cap how high prices can go sustainably for US producers?